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Christian Robert,George Casella: Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R

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Computational techniques based on simulation have now become an essential part of the statistician's toolbox. It is thus crucial to provide statisticians with a practical understanding of those methods, and there is no better way to develop intuition and skills for simulation than to use simulation to solve statistical problems. Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R covers the main tools used in statistical simulation from a programmer's point of view, explaining the R implementation of each simulation technique and providing the output for better understanding and comparison. While this book constitutes a comprehensive treatment of simulation methods, the theoretical justification of those methods has been considerably reduced, compared with Robert and Casella (2004). Similarly, the more exploratory and less stable solutions are not covered here. This book does not require a preliminary exposure to the R programming language or to Monte Carlo methods, nor an advanced mathematical background. While many examples are set within a Bayesian framework, advanced expertise in Bayesian statistics is not required. The book covers basic random generation algorithms, Monte Carlo techniques for integration and optimization, convergence diagnoses, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, including Metropolis {Hastings and Gibbs algorithms, and adaptive algorithms. All chapters include exercises and all R programs are available as an R package called mcsm. The book appeals to anyone with a practical interest in simulation methods but no previous exposure. It is meant to be useful for students and practitioners in areas such as statistics, signal processing, communications engineering, control theory, econometrics, finance and more. The programming parts are introduced progressively to be accessible to any reader.

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Jess Stockham: Stone Soup

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Step into the magical world of Child's Play fairy tales...Traditional tales are a well-established part of all cultures. Retold from the originals, these lively stories will captivate readers with their delightful illustrations and fun lift-up flaps which really add to the action. The 'flip-up' flaps encourage prediction and discussion, and well-known stories will give young readers confidence.

6 5/8 X 7 3/8 board book has rounded corners. Includes 6 large, sturdy flaps." and instruction cover proper feeding, housing, health care, training, grooming, protection against hazards, and much more. Texts emphasize basics and are easy for all readers to understand, but most titles in this series also present facts that even experienced pet owners and breeders havn't encountered before. Each manual has been individually written by an expert--many of them professional The Limits of Enchantment: A Novel ebook pdf breeders or veterinarians. All volumes are filled with full-color photos of the highest quality and with instructive line drawings. "This magisterial work exhibits Bavinck's vast knowledge and appreciation of the Christian tradition. Written from a Reformed perspective, it offers a perceptive critique of modern theology. . . . Recommended."--Library Journal

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Graham Joyce: The Limits of Enchantment: A Novel

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The best novel yet from a World Fantasy Award and four time British Fantasy Award winning author. This is the story of a young woman growing up in the midlands in 1966 - a woman who may be a witch. As a baby, Fern was taken in by Mammy Cullen who schooled her in the art of old hedgerow medicine, of traditional midwifery, herbs, folk songs and tales. She comes of age in the 1960s but lives on the margins of society until a group of Beatniks descends on the small village she calls home. Then a young woman dies after visiting Mammy for a brew to stop her pregnancy, setting off a landslide of events that threatens everything Fern has ever known.

6 5/8 X 7 3/8 board book has rounded corners. Includes 6 large, sturdy flaps." and instruction cover proper feeding, housing, health care, training, grooming, protection against hazards, and much more. Texts emphasize basics and are easy for all readers to understand, but most titles in this series also present facts that even experienced pet owners and breeders havn't encountered before. Each manual has been individually written by an expert--many of them professional The Limits of Enchantment: A Novel ebook pdf breeders or veterinarians. All volumes are filled with full-color photos of the highest quality and with instructive line drawings. "This magisterial work exhibits Bavinck's vast knowledge and appreciation of the Christian tradition. Written from a Reformed perspective, it offers a perceptive critique of modern theology. . . . Recommended."--Library Journal

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Christine Lucas: Huggable Crochet: 20 Cuddly Stuffed Animals for Kids of All Ages

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Grab your yarn and go wild! All you need is a hook and yarn to create the most adorable stuffed animals you'll ever meet. Huggable Crochet has patterns for 19 different animals measuring from twelve to eighteen inches (thirty to forty-six centimeters). These cute and full-sized creates range from the everyday to the exotic, from the farm to the jungle-and beyond! Crochet a snuggly squirrel, cow, penguin, dolphin, lion, giraffe, koala and more! Plus, see each pattern done in two different color schemes: realistic and fanciful. With simple stitches and construction techniques shown in the book, you will quickly be on your way to crocheting a cuddly kingdom that animal lovers of all ages will adore.

All effective healing begins with the breath, for our breath carries life force into our bodies. By becoming aware of our breathing, we can refine our receptivity to subtle energies for both self-healing and healing others and recognize our connection to all other living, breathing beings on Earth. Confronted on the one hand by Hitler's vast war machine, and on the other by a Soviet system determined to crush the human spirit, Tatiana and Alexander are pitted against the very tide of history, at a turning point in the century that made the modern world. This book is the most extensive reference available to Design Thinking. Design Thinking is an approach to designing products, services, architecture, spaces and experiences that is being quickly adopted by designers, architects and some of the world's leading brands such as GE, Target, SAP, Procter and Gamble, IDEO and Intuit. It is being taught at leading universities including Stanford and Harvard. Design Thinking creates practical and innovative solutions to problems. It drives repeatable innovation and business value. Design Thinking can be used to develop a wide range of products, services, experiences and strategy. It is an approach that can be applied by anyone. This book is an indispensable Design Thinking reference guide for: -Architects, industrial designers, interior designers, UX and web designers, service designers, exhibit designers, design educators and students, visual communication designers, packaging and Bright Star download ebook pdf fashion designers, all types of designers -Engineers and Marketing professionals -Executives and senior business leaders -Decision makers in R&D of products, services, systems and experiences -School teachers and school students Chapters describe in easy to understand language: -History of Design Thinking -What is Design Thinking -Why use Design Thinking -Who can use Design Thinking -How to create spaces for effective Design Thinking -Design Thinking process in detail -150 Design Thinking methods described step by step. The author Robert Curedale focuses the experience of decades of design practice and teaching for some of the world's leading brands, design consultancies, design schools and universities in Asia, Australia, Europe and North America. He established and manages the world's largest online network of around 300,000 of the worlds most influential design executives, professional working designers and architects. Robert has been the author of six best selling books on on design.

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Eileen Browne: Handa's Hen

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Every morning, Handa, a young girl from the Luo tribe, feeds breakfast to Mondi, her grandma's black hen. This morning, however, Mondi is nowhere to be seen. So Handa and her friend Akeyo set off on a hunt, coming upon two fluttery butterflies, three stripy mice, four little lizards, five beautiful sunbirds, and many more intriguing creatures. But where could Mondi be? Is that a faint cheeping they hear under the bush? Might Mondi have a surprise in store (or maybe even ten of them)? Luminous colors depict a lush natural setting in this gentle, repetitive story perfect for reading aloud.

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Lian Tanner: City of Lies

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Goldie Roth is a trained thief and a skilled liar. Along with her friend Toadspit, she's supposed to be one of the Keepers of the mysterious Museum of Dunt. But although she desperately wants to be a Keeper, she will not leave her sick parents to do so. But when Toadspit's sister Bonnie is stolen, he and Goldie are forced to follow the child-stealers to the neighboring city of Spoke. Along the way, Toadspit too is captured, and Goldie is caught up in the Festival of Lies, where every word she says means something else and no one can be trusted. There, Goldie discovers some dangerous secrets secrets that the child-stealers will kill to protect. She will need all her skills as a thief and a liar if she is to survive and save her friends."

Following 18 carefully structured lessons, this Romani language primer explores the vocabulary and grammar of the Kalderash Roma in Europe, the United States, Canada, and Latin America. Designed for beginner students, this course reference begins with the basic verbs and nouns and builds through to the subtler grammatical necessities of reading and speaking the language. Quotations from native speakers, poems, songs, proverbs, and folktales add to the cultural and historical understanding of the language. She needed to be tamed...She was a breathtaking firebrand, and Vere Mallory, the notorious Duke of Ainswood, had never seen anything quite like her. Although he thought he was rescuing Lydia Grenville from the clutches of a renowned wastrel, he quickly discovers she is angry at his interference! Amused by the sultry hellcat's fury, Mallory vows to teach her some humility - in life and in love. He was just the man to do it - Lydia Grenville was fuming. She was determined to save womankind from disreputable rakes like the infamous Mallory, to succumb to his scandalous City of Lies download PDF charms. She finds herself overwhelmed by the scintillating sensations he brings to her body, but when she discovers that he has bragged that he's going to 'tame' her, Lydia vows to fight his advances...but nothing prepares her for the surrender she finds in his arms.

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Gena Showalter: Ecstasy in Darkness

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He is McKell, a half-blooded vampire warrior able to manipulate time in short bursts. She is the human AIR agent - Alien Investigation and Removal -- sent to capture him. Hide-and-seek ensues, and the game has never been so sexually charged. While they should have been enemies, they become lovers. And together, they must discover the truth of his origins -- his other half - before they are forced to part ...forever ...

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Rick Wakeman: Further Adventures of a Grumpy Old Rock Star

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What do Postman Pat, Tommy Cooper, Norman Wisdom and George Best have in common with being abandoned in a Costa Rican jungle after a severe bout of flatulence? Indeed, how are they also connected to trying to buy an Australian brewery just to get a beer, owning twenty-two cars, an American soccer team and a Swiss mail-order pornography company? The common feature is of course a certain Richard Wakeman. "The Further Adventures of a Grumpy Old Rock Star" takes you, the privileged reader, on a trip of absurd excess, a cultural car crash of side-splitting hilarity and an unforgettable glimpse (again) into the life of one of Britain's most legendary showmen, rock stars and all-time great raconteurs.

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John Le Carré: Call for the Dead

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After a routine security check by George Smiley, civil servant Samuel Fennan apparently kills himself. When Smiley finds Circus head Maston is trying to blame him for the man's death, he begins his own investigation, meeting with Fennan's widow to find out what could have led him to such desperation. But on the very day that Smiley is ordered off the enquiry he receives an urgent letter from the dead man. Do the East Germans - and their agents - know more about this man's death than the Circus previously imagined? Le Carre's debut novel, Call for the Dead, introduced the tenacious and retiring George Smiley in a gripping tale of espionage and deceit.

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Gregory F. Barz,Timothy J. Cooley: Shadows in the Field: New Perspectives for Fieldwork in Ethnomusicology

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Ethnomusicological fieldwork has significantly changed since the end of the the 20th century. Ethnomusicology is in a critical moment that requires new perspecitves on fieldwork - perspectives that are not addressed in the standard guides to ethnomusicological or anthropological method. The focus in ethnomusicological writing and teaching has traditionally centered around analyses and ethnographic representations of musical cultures, rather than on the personal world of understanding, experience, knowing, and doing fieldwork. Shadows in the Field deliberately shift the focus of ethnomusicology and of ethnography in general from representation (text) to experience (fieldwork). The "new fieldwork" moves beyond mere data collection and has become a defining characteristic of ethnomusicology that engages the scholar in meaningful human contexts. In this new edition of Shadows in the Field, renowned ethnomusicologists explore the roles they themselves act out while performing fieldwork and pose significant questions for the field: What are the new directions in ethnomusicological fieldwork? Where does fieldwork of "the past" fit into these theories? And above all, what do we see when we acknowledge the shadows we cast in the field? The second edition of Shadows in the Field includes updates of all existing chapters, a new preface by Bruno Nettl, and seven new chapters addressing critical issues and concerns that have become increasingly relevant since the first edition.

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